Prospective longevity. A new beam for aging population. Sanderson U., Shcherbov S.

Aging is a complex phenomenon. Usually, as a guideline, we use a chronological age, but this is a way to determine the expected life expectancy backwards. He tells us how much we have lived so far, but what about the rest of our lives?

In this breakthrough book, Warren Sanderson and Sergey Shcherbov propose a new way to measure the aging of a person and the population. Instead of counting how many years we have lived, we must think about how many years we have left, about our “promising age”. Two people of the same chronological age probably have a different promising age, because one will survive the other. Combining the indicators of the expected life expectancy with other health indicators, Sanderson and Shcherbov show how we can receive more accurate demographic estimates, which will serve as the basis for a more effective policy.

The measurement of a promising age helps to understand the observed patterns in mortality, reorients understanding of health in old age and clarifies the demographic load of the elderly. This metric also gives valuable data for debate about the fair for different generations of pension provision. The innovative model of Sanderson and Shcherbov has already begun to be used by the United Nations for Enscuration of Antivia.

The book “Prospective Longevity” offers all of us the opportunity to rethink aging so that we can make the right decisions for our social and economic health.